Language:English
1. FC Magdeburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Magdeburg (Local)
Prediction 50.30%1.99fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.64%50.42%50.22%52.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.60%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)
Prediction 25.01%4.00fair odd
EV +2.81%
Edge +0.684%
Kelly +0.904%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.92%24.87%25.10%25.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.604.1129.41%27.17%27.78%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.69%4.05fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.415%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.71%24.67%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.733.754.0030.77%26.79%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 50.30%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 25.01%; Draw: 24.69%. For Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.69%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV +2.81%E +0.684%K +0.904%G +0.025% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +2.56%E +0.624%K +0.826%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.45%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -1.74%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.39%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 10:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -5.44%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.24%E -0.311%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -12.35%E -3.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -7.45%E -4.05%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -12.99%E -7.51%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -19.76%E -6.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.77%EV -9.97%E -5.57%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.48%E -6.52%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |