La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
1. FC Magdeburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
1. FC Magdeburg (Local)
Predicción 50.30%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -4.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.64%50.42%50.22%52.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.60%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visitante)
Predicción 25.01%4.00momio equitativo
EV +2.81%
Ventaja +0.684%
Kelly +0.904%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.92%24.87%25.10%25.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.683.604.1129.41%27.17%27.78%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.69%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.311%
Kelly -0.415%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%24.71%24.67%26.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.733.754.0030.77%26.79%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.69%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV +2.81%E +0.684%K +0.904%G +0.025% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +2.56%E +0.624%K +0.826%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.45%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -1.74%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.39%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 10:47 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -5.44%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.24%E -0.311%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 07:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -12.35%E -3.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -7.45%E -4.05%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:40 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:39 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -12.99%E -7.51%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -19.76%E -6.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.77%EV -9.97%E -5.57%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.48%E -6.52%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |