مدرسة الاحتمالات

1. FC Magdeburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf

البداية: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.30%1.99السعر العادل
EV -3.93%
الأفضلية -2.06%
Kelly -4.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.64%50.42%50.22%52.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.60%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.01%4.00السعر العادل
EV +2.81%
الأفضلية +0.684%
Kelly +0.904%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.92%24.87%25.10%25.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.683.604.1129.41%27.17%27.78%24.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.69%4.05السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.311%
Kelly -0.415%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.53%24.71%24.67%26.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.733.754.0030.77%26.79%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.69%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV +2.81%E +0.684%K +0.904%G +0.025%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +2.56%E +0.624%K +0.826%G +0.021%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:49
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:49
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 10:49
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 10:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:50
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.45%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -1.74%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.39%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:47
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -5.44%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.24%E -0.311%K -0.415%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 07:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:49
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -12.35%E -3.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 10:50
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:49
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:49
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -7.45%E -4.05%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:40
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -12.99%E -7.51%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -19.76%E -6.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.77%EV -9.97%E -5.57%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.48%E -6.52%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 10:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-18 10:50