La scuola delle quote

1. FC Magdeburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inizio: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Finale: 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Casa)

Previsione 50.30%1.99quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -2.06%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.64%50.42%50.22%52.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.60%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.01%4.00quota equa
EV +2.81%
Vantaggio +0.684%
Kelly +0.904%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.92%24.87%25.10%25.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.683.604.1129.41%27.17%27.78%24.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.69%4.05quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.311%
Kelly -0.415%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.53%24.71%24.67%26.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.733.754.0030.77%26.79%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.69%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV +2.81%E +0.684%K +0.904%G +0.025%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +2.56%E +0.624%K +0.826%G +0.021%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:49
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:49
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 10:49
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 10:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:50
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.45%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -1.74%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.39%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:47
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -5.44%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.24%E -0.311%K -0.415%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 07:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:49
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -12.35%E -3.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 10:50
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:49
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:49
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -7.45%E -4.05%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:40
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -12.99%E -7.51%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -19.76%E -6.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.77%EV -9.97%E -5.57%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.48%E -6.52%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 10:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-18 10:50
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-18 10:50