L’École des cotesFrançais
1. FC Magdeburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
1. FC Magdeburg (Local)
Prévision 50.30%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.64%50.42%50.22%52.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.60%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.01%4.00cote équitable
EV +2.81%
Avantage +0.684%
Kelly +0.904%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 4.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.92%24.87%25.10%25.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.683.604.1129.41%27.17%27.78%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.69%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.311%
Kelly -0.415%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%24.71%24.67%26.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.733.754.0030.77%26.79%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.69%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV +2.81%E +0.684%K +0.904%G +0.025% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +2.56%E +0.624%K +0.826%G +0.021% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +0.058%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.19%E -0.302%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.69%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.45%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -1.74%E -0.437%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.95%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.39%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.66%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 10:47 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -5.44%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -2.23%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.24%E -0.311%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 07:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.70%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -12.35%E -3.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.71%E -0.952%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.18%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.42%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -7.45%E -4.05%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:40 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:39 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.59%E -3.88%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -12.99%E -7.51%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -19.76%E -6.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.77%EV -9.97%E -5.57%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -9.89%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.70%E -3.97%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.98%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -8.65%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.48%E -6.52%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.12%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |