The School of Odds

1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück

2026-08-08 11:30 — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Option 1: 1. FC Heidenheim (Local)

Odds
1.4369.93%Min
1.5365.48%Mean
1.5564.52%Median
1.5763.69%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.69%1.733Min
61.85%1.617Max
60.77%1.646Mean
60.77%1.646Median
60.77%1.646IQM
60.70%1.648Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.57 under the IQM model: 60.77%

EV -4.60%Edge -2.93%Kelly -8.07%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: VfL Osnabrück (Visit)

Odds
4.3023.26%Min
4.8520.61%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.6017.86%Max
Consensus probabilities
16.57%6.036Min
19.89%5.028Max
17.29%5.783Mean
17.29%5.783Median
17.29%5.783IQM
17.34%5.767Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.60 under the IQM model: 17.29%

EV -3.16%Edge -0.564%Kelly -0.687%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.0924.47%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.5022.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.41%4.900Min
23.08%4.333Max
21.94%4.557Mean
21.94%4.557Median
21.94%4.557IQM
21.97%4.553Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 21.94%

EV -1.26%Edge -0.280%Kelly -0.360%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker1. FC Heidenheim (Local) ▼VfL Osnabrück (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.94%EV -4.60% E -2.93% K -8.07% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.92%EV -9.21% E -1.75% K -2.17% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 22.14%EV -6.75% E -1.59% K -2.08% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 11:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69% NM 59.68%EV -4.60% E -2.93% K -8.07% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 18.02%EV -10.08% E -1.94% K -2.40% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.31%EV -7.84% E -1.87% K -2.45% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 13:54
1xBet1.55I 64.52% NM 58.97%EV -5.81% E -3.75% K -10.57% G +0.000%5.03I 19.88% NM 18.17%EV -13.02% E -2.59% K -3.23% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -12.23% E -3.06% K -4.08% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52% NM 57.74%EV -5.81% E -3.75% K -10.57% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.89%EV -22.18% E -4.93% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.37%EV -12.23% E -3.06% K -4.08% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds1.55I 64.52% NM 57.74%EV -5.81% E -3.75% K -10.57% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.89%EV -22.18% E -4.93% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.37%EV -12.23% E -3.06% K -4.08% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-08 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52% NM 57.74%EV -5.81% E -3.75% K -10.57% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.89%EV -22.18% E -4.93% K -6.34% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.37%EV -12.23% E -3.06% K -4.08% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-08 16:50
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36% NM 59.22%EV -7.03% E -4.59% K -13.26% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.12%EV -13.54% E -2.71% K -3.38% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.65%EV -12.23% E -3.06% K -4.08% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-08 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 61.85%EV -8.85% E -5.90% K -17.70% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 16.57%EV -3.16% E -0.564% K -0.687% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.58%EV -5.65% E -1.31% K -1.71% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 61.22%EV -8.85% E -5.90% K -17.70% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.37%EV -13.54% E -2.71% K -3.38% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.41%EV -1.26% E -0.280% K -0.360% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-08 12:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 57.69%EV -8.85% E -5.90% K -17.70% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.23%EV -22.18% E -4.93% K -6.34% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.08%EV -17.72% E -4.72% K -6.44% G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-08 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93% NM 59.01%EV -13.11% E -9.17% K -30.48% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 19.62%EV -25.64% E -5.96% K -7.77% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 21.36%EV -13.33% E -3.37% K -4.52% G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-08 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker1. FC Heidenheim (Local)VfL Osnabrück (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57% NM 36.70%5.40I 18.52% NM 10.06%1.02I 98.04% NM 53.25%84.1%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57% NM 36.70%5.40I 18.52% NM 10.06%1.02I 98.04% NM 53.25%84.1%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57% NM 36.70%5.40I 18.52% NM 10.06%1.02I 98.04% NM 53.25%84.1%2026-07-08 15:40