StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Endstand: 1. FC Heidenheim 4–3 VfL Osnabrück

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

1. FC Heidenheim (Heim)

Prognose 56.63%1.77faire Quote
EV -4.29%
Vorteil -2.54%
Kelly -6.21%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.73%56.68%56.58%59.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.471.621.641.6968.03%61.71%60.98%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

VfL Osnabrück (Auswärts)

Prognose 19.22%5.20faire Quote
EV +1.87%
Vorteil +0.353%
Kelly +0.435%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.49%19.19%19.28%20.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.334.864.805.3023.09%20.58%20.83%18.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.14%4.14faire Quote
EV +1.41%
Vorteil +0.335%
Kelly +0.439%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.64%24.13%24.14%25.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.833.854.2028.57%26.09%25.97%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: 1. FC Heidenheim (Heim): 56.63%; VfL Osnabrück (Auswärts): 19.22%; Unentschieden: 24.14%. Für VfL Osnabrück (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.20. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.30 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.87%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -10.52%E -6.66%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -1.97%E -0.387%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -1.97%E -0.387%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.51%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.87%EV -2.74%E -0.542%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.61%EV -6.32%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 10:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -7.69%E -4.71%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV +1.41%E +0.335%K +0.439%G +0.006%5.2%2026-08-08 08:15
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 08:15
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -12.22%E -7.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:20
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -12.22%E -7.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.50%EV -13.92%E -9.15%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.50%EV -13.92%E -9.15%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 08:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:49
Suprabets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.03%EV -9.94%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:37
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -7.55%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.74%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.325%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 08:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -7.74%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.49%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.32%EV -16.75%E -11.39%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.86%EV -7.74%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-08 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 08:45
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:39
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:45
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.82%E -5.48%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:15
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:50
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -8.82%E -5.48%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.54%EV -10.62%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.03%EV -8.73%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 10:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:31
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:53
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 08:15
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.35%E -8.72%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-08 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 08:45
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.74%EV -11.65%E -7.47%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -15.43%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -14.29%E -4.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-08 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:31
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%0.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%0.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.78%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-08-08 10:55