Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück

Inizio: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Finale: 1. FC Heidenheim 4–3 VfL Osnabrück

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

1. FC Heidenheim (Casa)

Previsione 56.63%1.77quota equa
EV -4.29%
Vantaggio -2.54%
Kelly -6.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.73%56.68%56.58%59.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.621.641.6968.03%61.71%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

VfL Osnabrück (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.22%5.20quota equa
EV +1.87%
Vantaggio +0.353%
Kelly +0.435%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.49%19.19%19.28%20.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.864.805.3023.09%20.58%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.14%4.14quota equa
EV +1.41%
Vantaggio +0.335%
Kelly +0.439%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.64%24.13%24.14%25.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.833.854.2028.57%26.09%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: 1. FC Heidenheim (Casa): 56.63%; VfL Osnabrück (Trasferta): 19.22%; Pareggio: 24.14%. Per VfL Osnabrück (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.20. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.87%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -10.52%E -6.66%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -11.08%E -7.06%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV +1.87%E +0.353%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -1.97%E -0.387%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -1.97%E -0.387%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.51%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.87%EV -2.74%E -0.542%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.61%EV -6.32%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 10:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -7.69%E -4.71%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV +1.41%E +0.335%K +0.439%G +0.006%5.2%2026-08-08 08:15
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 08:15
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -12.22%E -7.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:20
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -12.22%E -7.88%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.50%EV -13.92%E -9.15%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.50%EV -13.92%E -9.15%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -3.90%E -0.779%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 08:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:49
Suprabets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -5.82%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.03%EV -9.94%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:37
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -7.55%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.74%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.325%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 08:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -7.74%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.49%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.32%EV -16.75%E -11.39%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.86%EV -7.74%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-08 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 08:45
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:39
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:45
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.82%E -5.48%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 08:15
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:50
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.70%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -8.82%E -5.48%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.54%EV -10.62%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.03%EV -8.73%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 10:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:31
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:53
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 08:15
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.38%E -5.87%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.35%E -8.72%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -11.58%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-08 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 08:45
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.74%EV -11.65%E -7.47%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -15.43%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -14.29%E -4.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-08 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:31
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -16.77%E -3.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%0.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%0.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.78%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-08-08 10:55