L’École des cotes

1. FC Heidenheim v VfL Osnabrück

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

25 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Heidenheim (Local)

Prévision 63.21%1.58cote équitable
EV -5.19%
Avantage -3.46%
Kelly -10.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.58%63.24%63.18%64.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.451.451.5075.19%69.14%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfL Osnabrück (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.57%6.42cote équitable
EV +1.23%
Avantage +0.189%
Kelly +0.223%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.24%15.46%15.76%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.775.756.5020.83%17.34%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.22%4.71cote équitable
EV -4.51%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.87%21.30%21.06%22.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.234.204.5026.67%23.66%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +1.23%E +0.189%K +0.223%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 10:39
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.23%E +0.189%K +0.223%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 17:14
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.23%E +0.189%K +0.223%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 17:12
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -7.72%E -5.29%K -16.78%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.76%EV -1.11%E -0.175%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -5.57%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 02:49
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -1.11%E -0.175%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -5.57%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:44
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:39
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 18:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.75%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 21:14
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.51%E -8.22%K -28.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-13 17:13
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -8.12%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.81%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -8.12%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.81%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:58
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 11:44
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -7.09%E -4.82%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 12:59
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 12:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-14 12:58
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 63.18%EV -15.94%E -11.98%K -48.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.55%EV -17.24%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-26 02:50
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.51%EV -11.51%E -8.22%K -28.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.40%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -17.24%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-13 17:15
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.44%EV -11.51%E -8.22%K -28.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.39%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.17%EV -17.67%E -4.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-24 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 60.86%EV -12.14%E -8.74%K -31.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.59%EV -20.58%E -4.03%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.56%EV -20.42%E -5.45%K -7.43%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-24 11:05
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 60.58%EV -12.14%E -8.74%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.54%EV -25.25%E -5.26%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.87%EV -18.30%E -4.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-14 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 60.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.52%16.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 12:15