默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg

开赛时间: 2026-05-10 13:30 UTC

最终结果: Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hamburger SV (主队)

预测 31.92%3.13公平赔率
EV -0.099%
优势 -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.13

博彩公司预测分布
30.27%31.84%31.92%35.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.922.903.1338.46%34.30%34.48%31.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

SC Freiburg (客队)

预测 41.61%2.40公平赔率
EV +0.691%
优势 +0.285%
Kelly +0.486%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
38.83%41.69%41.64%43.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.272.282.4250.00%44.07%43.86%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.48%3.78公平赔率
EV -0.718%
优势 -0.191%
Kelly -0.261%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.20%26.47%26.44%27.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.05%27.78%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hamburger SV (主队):31.92%;SC Freiburg (客队):41.61%;平局:26.48%。 对于“SC Freiburg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.40。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.42,对应+0.691%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Suprabets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -12.55%E -4.58%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.13%EV +0.691%E +0.285%K +0.486%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 08:43
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -0.142%E -0.059%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:20
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 13:19
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -17.02%E -6.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:21
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:19
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 31.12%EV -0.099%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.35%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.54%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.815%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.35%EV -2.57%E -0.699%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:20
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 13:20
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.41%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 13:20
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:20
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:18
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:17
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:20
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:19
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:19
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:19
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:18
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -16.78%E -8.39%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-10 13:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-10 13:20
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-05-10 13:20