Школа коэффициентов

Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg

Начало: 2026-05-10 13:30 UTC

Итог: Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Hamburger SV (Хозяева)

Прогноз 31.92%3.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.099%
Преимущество -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.13

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.27%31.84%31.92%35.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.922.903.1338.46%34.30%34.48%31.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

SC Freiburg (Гости)

Прогноз 41.61%2.40справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.691%
Преимущество +0.285%
Kelly +0.486%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.83%41.69%41.64%43.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.272.282.4250.00%44.07%43.86%41.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.48%3.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.718%
Преимущество -0.191%
Kelly -0.261%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.20%26.47%26.44%27.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.05%27.78%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Suprabets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -12.55%E -4.58%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.13%EV +0.691%E +0.285%K +0.486%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 08:43
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -0.142%E -0.059%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:20
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 13:19
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -17.02%E -6.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:21
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:19
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 13:19
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:19
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.12%EV -0.099%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.35%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.54%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 13:20
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.815%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.35%EV -2.57%E -0.699%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:20
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 13:20
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.41%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 13:20
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:20
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:18
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:19
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:17
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:20
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:19
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:20
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:19
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:20
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:19
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:20
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:19
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:19
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:20
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:19
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:18
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -16.78%E -8.39%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-10 13:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-10 13:20
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-05-10 13:20