A Escola das Odds

Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg

Início: 2026-05-10 13:30 UTC

Final: Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hamburger SV (Local)

Previsão 31.92%3.13odd justa
EV -0.099%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.27%31.84%31.92%35.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.922.903.1338.46%34.30%34.48%31.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Freiburg (Visitante)

Previsão 41.61%2.40odd justa
EV +0.691%
Vantagem +0.285%
Kelly +0.486%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.83%41.69%41.64%43.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.272.282.4250.00%44.07%43.86%41.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.48%3.78odd justa
EV -0.718%
Vantagem -0.191%
Kelly -0.261%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.20%26.47%26.44%27.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.05%27.78%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Suprabets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -12.55%E -4.58%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.13%EV +0.691%E +0.285%K +0.486%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 08:43
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -0.142%E -0.059%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:20
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 13:19
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -17.02%E -6.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:21
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:19
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 13:19
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:19
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.12%EV -0.099%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.35%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.54%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 13:20
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.815%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.35%EV -2.57%E -0.699%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:20
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:19
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 13:20
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.41%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 13:20
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:20
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 13:18
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:19
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:17
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:20
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:19
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:19
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:20
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:19
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:20
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:19
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:20
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:19
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:19
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:19
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:20
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:19
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:18
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -16.78%E -8.39%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-10 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-10 13:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-10 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-05-10 13:20
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-05-10 13:20