L’École des cotesFrançais
Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hamburger SV (Local)
Prévision 31.92%3.13cote équitable
EV -0.099%
Avantage -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.27%31.84%31.92%35.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.922.903.1338.46%34.30%34.48%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
SC Freiburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.61%2.40cote équitable
EV +0.691%
Avantage +0.285%
Kelly +0.486%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 2.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.83%41.69%41.64%43.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.272.282.4250.00%44.07%43.86%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.48%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.718%
Avantage -0.191%
Kelly -0.261%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.20%26.47%26.44%27.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.05%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suprabets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -12.55%E -4.58%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.13%EV +0.691%E +0.285%K +0.486%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -0.142%E -0.059%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -17.02%E -6.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 21:21 |
| GTbets | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.12%EV -0.099%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.35%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.54%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.35%EV -2.57%E -0.699%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| William Hill | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.41%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 13:18 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:17 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:18 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -16.78%E -8.39%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |