La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hamburger SV (Local)
Predicción 31.92%3.13momio equitativo
EV -0.099%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.27%31.84%31.92%35.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.922.903.1338.46%34.30%34.48%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SC Freiburg (Visitante)
Predicción 41.61%2.40momio equitativo
EV +0.691%
Ventaja +0.285%
Kelly +0.486%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.83%41.69%41.64%43.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.272.282.4250.00%44.07%43.86%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.718%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.261%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.20%26.47%26.44%27.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.05%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suprabets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -12.55%E -4.58%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.13%EV +0.691%E +0.285%K +0.486%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -0.142%E -0.059%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -17.02%E -6.54%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -2.22%E -0.945%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 21:21 |
| GTbets | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.70%EV -3.05%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -3.29%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.64%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.12%EV -0.099%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.35%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.54%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.35%EV -2.57%E -0.699%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| William Hill | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.30%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.41%EV -2.84%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.13%E -2.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -2.65%E -0.870%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 13:18 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -0.718%E -0.191%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:17 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -3.37%E -0.922%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.38%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.46%E -3.85%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.06%E -0.341%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:18 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.54%E -4.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -16.78%E -8.39%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.93%E -5.78%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 13:20 |