Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nice v Lille

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 15:15 UTC

Final: Nice 2–1 Lille

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nice (Local)

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +0.931%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%28.74%28.87%30.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.253.253.5632.79%30.81%30.77%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lille (Visit)

Prediction 44.01%2.27fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.13%43.96%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.132.142.2351.28%46.84%46.73%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -0.626%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.236%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%27.13%27.16%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.6530.30%28.75%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nice (Local): 28.76%; Lille (Visit): 44.01%; Draw: 27.23%. For Nice (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.34%EV +2.38%E +0.670%K +0.931%G +0.022%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.85%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-20 15:11
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -0.779%E -0.226%K -0.318%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.53%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.16%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -0.779%E -0.226%K -0.318%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.53%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.16%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:39
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -0.779%E -0.226%K -0.318%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:03
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -1.64%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.28%EV -0.626%E -0.171%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 15:11
Suprabets🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.78%EV -1.93%E -0.566%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.95%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:46
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:04
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.22%E -0.652%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 15:11
Coolbet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -2.79%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-20 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.52%EV -3.37%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.95%EV -4.05%E -1.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.53%EV -5.25%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 15:11
Everygame🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -1.85%E -0.829%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.626%E -0.171%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-20 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -1.85%E -0.829%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.626%E -0.171%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-20 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -1.85%E -0.829%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.626%E -0.171%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-20 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.73%EV -1.85%E -0.829%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.626%E -0.171%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-20 15:05
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -3.17%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 15:11
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:11
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:00
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 09:54
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:11
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 13:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 15:10
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 15:10
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 15:11
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.88%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:04
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 14:59
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:42
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 15:11
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 15:00
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:00
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:10
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:11
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 15:11
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 15:11
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:11
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 15:11
Caesars🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.01%E -3.83%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:51
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 15:11
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 15:11
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 15:11
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 15:00
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:04
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:05
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.81%E -2.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:04
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:54
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 15:11
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 15:04
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:59
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 15:11
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 15:04
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 15:11
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 15:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 15:11
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -14.17%E -7.27%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 15:11
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 15:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-20 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-20 15:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-20 15:11
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-09-20 15:11
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-09-20 15:11