StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nice v Lille

2026-09-20 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Matchresultat

27 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nice (Hemma)

Prognos 26.13%3.83rättvist odds
EV +3.20%
Fördel +0.810%
Kelly +1.08%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.19%26.03%26.49%27.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.553.503.9530.30%28.19%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lille (Borta)

Prognos 46.52%2.15rättvist odds
EV +0.949%
Fördel +0.437%
Kelly +0.811%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.72%46.52%46.11%48.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.802.012.052.1755.56%49.72%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.35%3.66rättvist odds
EV -1.53%
Fördel -0.425%
Kelly -0.588%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.42%27.45%27.40%28.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.403.413.6031.25%29.41%29.33%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Nice (Hemma): 26.13%; Lille (Borta): 46.52%; Oavgjort: 27.35%. För Nice (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.83. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.95, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.20%.

Spelbolagsodds (27 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Codere (IT)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV +3.20%E +0.810%K +1.08%G +0.035%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -8.36%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 19:20
1xBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.72%EV +0.065%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.39%EV +0.949%E +0.437%K +0.811%G +0.008%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.89%EV -6.73%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:20
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -13.47%E -7.24%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 19:18
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:50
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:50
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:50
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 19:50
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:55
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:59
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:50
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 19:50
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -16.26%E -9.04%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 19:20
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 19:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%16.7%2026-09-06 19:20
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 32.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 39.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 28.27%38.2%2026-09-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Arbitrage (12 kombinationer) +0.83%Codere (IT) 3.95 (25.5%) / 1xBet 2.17 (46.5%) / SportsBet 3.60 (28.0%)Visa alla 12 kombinationer
Nice (Hemma)Lille (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%)SportsBet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.830%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.830%
1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)SportsBet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.030%
1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.030%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Codere (IT)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)BetMGM🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)FanDuel🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Sky Bet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Paddy Power🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%