Idioma:Español
Nice v Lille
Resultado del partido
Nice (Local)
Predicción 26.13%3.83momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +0.810%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.19%26.03%26.49%27.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.503.9530.30%28.19%28.57%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lille (Visitante)
Predicción 46.52%2.15momio equitativo
EV +0.949%
Ventaja +0.437%
Kelly +0.811%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.72%46.52%46.11%48.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.802.012.052.1755.56%49.72%48.78%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.35%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -0.588%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.42%27.45%27.40%28.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.403.413.6031.25%29.41%29.33%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nice (Local): 26.13%; Lille (Visitante): 46.52%; Empate: 27.35%. Para Nice (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.83. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.95, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV +3.20%E +0.810%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -8.36%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.72%EV +0.065%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.39%EV +0.949%E +0.437%K +0.811%G +0.008% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.89%EV -6.73%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -13.47%E -7.24%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 19:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -16.26%E -9.04%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09% | 16.7% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 32.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 39.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 28.27% | 38.2% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61% | 183.3% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61% | 183.3% | 2026-09-06 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
Arbitraje (12 combinaciones) +0.83%Codere (IT) 3.95 (25.5%) / 1xBet 2.17 (46.5%) / SportsBet 3.60 (28.0%)Ver las 12 combinaciones
| Nice (Local) | Lille (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%) | SportsBet🎯 3.60 (28.0%) | +0.830% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%) | betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%) | +0.830% |
| 1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | SportsBet🎯 3.60 (27.8%) | +0.030% |
| 1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (27.8%) | +0.030% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Codere (IT)🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Coral🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | BetMGM🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | FanDuel🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Sky Bet🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Paddy Power🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |