Langue:Français
Nice v Lille
Résultat du match
Nice (Local)
Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV +3.20%
Avantage +0.810%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.19%26.03%26.49%27.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.503.9530.30%28.19%28.57%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lille (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.52%2.15cote équitable
EV +0.949%
Avantage +0.437%
Kelly +0.811%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 2.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.72%46.52%46.11%48.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.802.012.052.1755.56%49.72%48.78%46.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.35%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -0.588%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.45%27.40%28.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.403.413.6031.25%29.41%29.33%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Nice (Local) : 26.13% ; Lille (Visiteur) : 46.52% ; Match nul : 27.35%. Pour Nice (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.95, pour une espérance positive de +3.20%.
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV +3.20%E +0.810%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -8.36%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.72%EV +0.065%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.39%EV +0.949%E +0.437%K +0.811%G +0.008% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.89%EV -6.73%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -13.47%E -7.24%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 19:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 19:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -16.26%E -9.04%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09% | 16.7% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 32.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 39.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 28.27% | 38.2% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61% | 183.3% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61% | 183.3% | 2026-09-06 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
Arbitrage (12 combinaisons) +0.83%Codere (IT) 3.95 (25.5%) / 1xBet 2.17 (46.5%) / SportsBet 3.60 (28.0%)Afficher les 12 combinaisons
| Nice (Local) | Lille (Visiteur) | Match nul | Marge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%) | SportsBet🎯 3.60 (28.0%) | +0.830% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%) | betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%) | +0.830% |
| 1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | SportsBet🎯 3.60 (27.8%) | +0.030% |
| 1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (27.8%) | +0.030% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Codere (IT)🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Coral🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | BetMGM🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | FanDuel🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Sky Bet🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |
| Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%) | 1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%) | Paddy Power🎯 3.50 (28.6%) | +0.029% |