Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nice v Lille

2026-09-20 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nice (Casa)

Previsione 26.13%3.83quota equa
EV +3.20%
Vantaggio +0.810%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.19%26.03%26.49%27.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.553.503.9530.30%28.19%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lille (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.52%2.15quota equa
EV +0.949%
Vantaggio +0.437%
Kelly +0.811%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.72%46.52%46.11%48.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.012.052.1755.56%49.72%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.35%3.66quota equa
EV -1.53%
Vantaggio -0.425%
Kelly -0.588%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.42%27.45%27.40%28.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.403.413.6031.25%29.41%29.33%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Nice (Casa): 26.13%; Lille (Trasferta): 46.52%; Pareggio: 27.35%. Per Nice (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.83. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.95, con un valore atteso positivo del +3.20%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Codere (IT)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV +3.20%E +0.810%K +1.08%G +0.035%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.51%EV -8.36%E -4.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 19:20
1xBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.72%EV +0.065%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.39%EV +0.949%E +0.437%K +0.811%G +0.008%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.89%EV -6.73%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -0.719%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -10.22%E -5.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:20
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.78%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -13.47%E -7.24%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 19:18
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:50
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:50
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.425%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:50
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 19:50
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:55
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:59
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:50
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 19:50
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -16.26%E -9.04%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 19:20
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%16.7%2026-09-06 19:20
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 32.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 39.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 28.27%38.2%2026-09-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:55
Arbitraggio (12 combinazioni) +0.83%Codere (IT) 3.95 (25.5%) / 1xBet 2.17 (46.5%) / SportsBet 3.60 (28.0%)Mostra tutte le 12 combinazioni
Nice (Casa)Lille (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%)SportsBet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.830%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.5%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.830%
1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)SportsBet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.030%
1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.1%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.030%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Codere (IT)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)BetMGM🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)FanDuel🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Sky Bet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%
Codere (IT)🎯 3.95 (25.3%)1xBet🎯 2.17 (46.1%)Paddy Power🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.029%