Language:English
Ilves Tampere v Jaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 57.87%1.73fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.86%57.98%57.75%60.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.581.601.6769.44%63.30%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaro (Visit)
Prediction 19.21%5.21fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.417%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.13%19.16%19.30%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.764.785.3023.09%21.00%20.94%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.92%4.36fair odd
EV +0.852%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.83%22.86%22.96%24.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.994.004.4027.40%25.09%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 57.87%; Jaro (Visit): 19.21%; Draw: 22.92%. For Jaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +1.79%E +0.338%K +0.417%G +0.007% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV +0.852%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 06:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV -0.703%E -0.136%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.12%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.60%EV -3.39%E -0.674%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.28%EV -7.86%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -4.93%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.73%E -0.889%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 05:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.69%EV -4.65%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 05:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -6.85%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 05:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.73%EV -7.98%E -5.02%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -9.73%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.27%EV -16.66%E -11.57%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.84%E -3.89%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |