Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ilves Tampere v Jaro

Początek: 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ilves Tampere 2–0 Jaro

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ilves Tampere (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.87%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -3.35%
Przewaga -2.01%
Kelly -5.00%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.86%57.98%57.75%60.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.581.601.6769.44%63.30%62.50%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jaro (Goście)

Prognoza 19.21%5.21kurs godziwy
EV +1.79%
Przewaga +0.338%
Kelly +0.417%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.13%19.16%19.30%20.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.334.764.785.3023.09%21.00%20.94%18.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.92%4.36kurs godziwy
EV +0.852%
Przewaga +0.194%
Kelly +0.251%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.83%22.86%22.96%24.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.653.994.004.4027.40%25.09%25.00%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ilves Tampere (Gospodarze): 57.87%; Jaro (Goście): 19.21%; Remis: 22.92%. Dla wyniku Jaro (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.21. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.30, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.79%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +1.79%E +0.338%K +0.417%G +0.007%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV +0.852%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.1%2026-09-08 06:30
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV -0.703%E -0.136%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 14:55
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.12%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.60%EV -3.39%E -0.674%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.28%EV -7.86%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -4.93%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.73%E -0.889%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 05:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:30
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.69%EV -4.65%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 05:44
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -6.85%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 05:45
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.73%EV -7.98%E -5.02%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:48
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -9.73%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.27%EV -16.66%E -11.57%K -37.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 14:34
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.84%E -3.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55