StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ilves Tampere v Jaro

Matchstart: 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Ilves Tampere 2–0 Jaro

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ilves Tampere (Hemma)

Prognos 57.87%1.73rättvist odds
EV -3.35%
Fördel -2.01%
Kelly -5.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.86%57.98%57.75%60.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.581.601.6769.44%63.30%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jaro (Borta)

Prognos 19.21%5.21rättvist odds
EV +1.79%
Fördel +0.338%
Kelly +0.417%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.13%19.16%19.30%20.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.334.764.785.3023.09%21.00%20.94%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.92%4.36rättvist odds
EV +0.852%
Fördel +0.194%
Kelly +0.251%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.83%22.86%22.96%24.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.653.994.004.4027.40%25.09%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ilves Tampere (Hemma): 57.87%; Jaro (Borta): 19.21%; Oavgjort: 22.92%. För Jaro (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.21. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.79%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +1.79%E +0.338%K +0.417%G +0.007%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV +0.852%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.1%2026-09-08 06:30
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV -0.703%E -0.136%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 14:55
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.12%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.60%EV -3.39%E -0.674%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.28%EV -7.86%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -4.93%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.73%E -0.889%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 05:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:30
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.69%EV -4.65%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 05:44
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -6.85%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 05:45
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.73%EV -7.98%E -5.02%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:48
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -9.73%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.27%EV -16.66%E -11.57%K -37.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 14:34
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.84%E -3.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55