Idioma:Español
Ilves Tampere v Jaro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Predicción 57.87%1.73momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -5.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.86%57.98%57.75%60.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.581.601.6769.44%63.30%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jaro (Visitante)
Predicción 19.21%5.21momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.338%
Kelly +0.417%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.13%19.16%19.30%20.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.334.764.785.3023.09%21.00%20.94%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.92%4.36momio equitativo
EV +0.852%
Ventaja +0.194%
Kelly +0.251%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.83%22.86%22.96%24.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.653.994.004.4027.40%25.09%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ilves Tampere (Local): 57.87%; Jaro (Visitante): 19.21%; Empate: 22.92%. Para Jaro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.21. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.79%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +1.79%E +0.338%K +0.417%G +0.007% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV +0.852%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 06:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV -0.703%E -0.136%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.12%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.60%EV -3.39%E -0.674%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.28%EV -7.86%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -4.93%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.73%E -0.889%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 05:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.69%EV -4.65%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 05:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -6.85%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 05:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.73%EV -7.98%E -5.02%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -9.73%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.27%EV -16.66%E -11.57%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 05:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.84%E -3.89%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |