Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ilves Tampere v Jaro

Início: 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 2–0 Jaro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Previsão 57.87%1.73odd justa
EV -3.35%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -5.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.86%57.98%57.75%60.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.581.601.6769.44%63.30%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jaro (Visitante)

Previsão 19.21%5.21odd justa
EV +1.79%
Vantagem +0.338%
Kelly +0.417%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.13%19.16%19.30%20.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.764.785.3023.09%21.00%20.94%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.92%4.36odd justa
EV +0.852%
Vantagem +0.194%
Kelly +0.251%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.83%22.86%22.96%24.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.653.994.004.4027.40%25.09%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ilves Tampere (Local): 57.87%; Jaro (Visitante): 19.21%; Empate: 22.92%. Para Jaro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.21. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +1.79%E +0.338%K +0.417%G +0.007%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV +0.852%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.1%2026-09-08 06:30
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -4.51%E -2.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.65%EV -0.703%E -0.136%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 14:55
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.12%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.60%EV -3.39%E -0.674%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.28%EV -7.86%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -4.93%E -0.996%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.73%E -0.889%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 05:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.82%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:30
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.89%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:25
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.92%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.39%EV -6.47%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.69%EV -4.65%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 05:44
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -6.85%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -16.34%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -12.61%E -8.35%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.09%EV -13.19%E -8.79%K -26.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.81%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -9.46%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 05:45
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 14:10
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.73%EV -7.98%E -5.02%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:48
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -8.77%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -3.35%E -2.01%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -9.73%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.61%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.27%EV -16.66%E -11.57%K -37.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -11.65%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -10.30%E -6.64%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -13.57%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.90%E -3.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 14:34
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.40%E -4.63%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.49%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.45%E -7.49%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.84%E -3.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-08 14:55