The School of OddsIF Gnistan v IFK Mariehamn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
Head to Head
IF Gnistan (Local)
Prediction 71.33%1.40fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.19%71.22%71.42%72.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3880%77%77%72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Prediction 11.10%9.01fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.154%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 8.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.47%11.18%10.93%12.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.008.098.008.9014%12%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 17.57%5.69fair odd
EV -0.554%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.119%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.73%17.60%17.64%18.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.115.005.6621%20%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.98%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.38%EV -5.77%E -0.680%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.64%EV -8.99%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 8.88I 11.26%NM 10.82%EV -1.44%E -0.162%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.97%EV -0.554%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 13:57 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.77I 11.40%NM 10.68%EV -2.66%E -0.304%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.28%EV -4.77%E -0.880%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -15.65%E -2.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -8.64%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -13.98%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -14.79%E -3.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.47%EV -1.22%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.60%EV -8.70%E -6.79%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.95%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.91%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.19%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -22.31%E -3.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -16.54%E -3.48%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-11 13:57 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.24% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 0.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |