The School of OddsIF Gnistan v IFK Mariehamn
Head to Head
Option 1: IF Gnistan (Local)
Odds
1.2977.52%Min
1.3574.13%Mean
1.3574.07%Median
1.4170.92%Max
Consensus probabilities
65.79%1.520Min
70.65%1.415Max
68.48%1.460Mean
68.78%1.454Median
68.59%1.458IQM
68.63%1.457Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.41 under the IQM model: 68.59%
EV -3.29%Edge -2.33%Kelly -8.02%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Odds
6.1016.39%Min
7.0914.11%Mean
7.0014.29%Median
8.2412.14%Max
Consensus probabilities
11.49%8.704Min
14.00%7.143Max
12.57%7.956Mean
12.64%7.909Median
12.60%7.939IQM
12.47%8.021Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 8.24 under the IQM model: 12.60%
EV +3.78%Edge +0.459%Kelly +0.523%Growth +0.020%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.3023.26%Min
4.7021.27%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
5.3018.87%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.65%5.667Min
21.02%4.757Max
18.95%5.278Mean
18.58%5.383Median
18.82%5.315IQM
18.90%5.292Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.30 under the IQM model: 18.82%
EV -0.276%Edge -0.052%Kelly -0.064%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | IF Gnistan (Local) | IFK Mariehamn (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63% NM 70.65%EV -8.09% E -6.04% K -23.80% G +0.000% | 8.24I 12.14% NM 11.49%EV +3.78% E +0.459% K +0.523% G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87% NM 17.86%EV -0.276% E -0.052% K -0.064% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 70.59%EV -10.83% E -8.33% K -36.12% G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82% NM 11.76%EV -1.76% E -0.225% K -0.258% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.65%EV -2.16% E -0.415% K -0.514% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.34I 74.63% NM 69.60%EV -8.09% E -6.04% K -23.80% G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99% NM 12.11%EV -3.02% E -0.392% K -0.450% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.29%EV -4.04% E -0.792% K -0.985% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 12:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07% NM 69.39%EV -7.41% E -5.49% K -21.16% G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07% NM 12.24%EV -3.65% E -0.477% K -0.548% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.37%EV -4.04% E -0.792% K -0.985% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:24 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07% NM 68.43%EV -7.41% E -5.49% K -21.16% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.32%EV -5.54% E -0.738% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.25%EV -9.68% E -2.02% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76% NM 69.44%EV -9.46% E -7.17% K -29.57% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.22%EV -5.54% E -0.738% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.33%EV -5.92% E -1.18% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 01:39 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.76%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.19%EV -5.54% E -0.738% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.05%EV -9.68% E -2.02% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.76%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.19%EV -5.54% E -0.738% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.05%EV -9.68% E -2.02% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.76%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.19%EV -5.54% E -0.738% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.05%EV -9.68% E -2.02% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 20:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92% NM 66.34%EV -3.29% E -2.33% K -8.02% G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51% NM 12.64%EV -6.80% E -0.918% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47% NM 21.02%EV -16.27% E -3.66% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92% NM 66.34%EV -3.29% E -2.33% K -8.02% G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51% NM 12.64%EV -6.80% E -0.918% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47% NM 21.02%EV -16.27% E -3.66% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.73%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79% NM 12.61%EV -8.68% E -1.20% K -1.39% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.66%EV -7.80% E -1.59% K -2.00% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 20:40 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46% NM 67.87%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99% NM 13.10%EV -9.94% E -1.39% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33% NM 19.04%EV -7.43% E -1.51% K -1.89% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 13:05 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -5.35% E -3.87% K -14.07% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 67.70%EV -7.41% E -5.49% K -21.16% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.06%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.24%EV -10.62% E -2.24% K -2.83% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 20:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07% NM 67.70%EV -7.41% E -5.49% K -21.16% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.06%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.24%EV -10.62% E -2.24% K -2.83% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 20:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19% NM 68.43%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.00%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.57%EV -7.80% E -1.59% K -2.00% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 20:40 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -10.83% E -8.33% K -36.12% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -5.92% E -1.18% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19% NM 67.61%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 19.55%EV -13.45% E -2.92% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 20:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92% NM 68.52%EV -10.83% E -8.33% K -36.12% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 12.73%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.75%EV -10.62% E -2.24% K -2.83% G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 68.52%EV -10.83% E -8.33% K -36.12% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 12.73%EV -11.83% E -1.69% K -1.97% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.75%EV -10.62% E -2.24% K -2.83% G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 20:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07% NM 67.71%EV -7.41% E -5.49% K -21.16% G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71% NM 13.44%EV -14.35% E -2.11% K -2.47% G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62% NM 18.85%EV -8.74% E -1.80% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.50%EV -6.72% E -4.94% K -18.66% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.40%EV -14.98% E -2.22% K -2.61% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.10%EV -15.33% E -3.41% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.50%EV -6.72% E -4.94% K -18.66% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.40%EV -14.98% E -2.22% K -2.61% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.10%EV -15.33% E -3.41% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.50%EV -6.72% E -4.94% K -18.66% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.40%EV -14.98% E -2.22% K -2.61% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.10%EV -15.33% E -3.41% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.50%EV -6.72% E -4.94% K -18.66% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.40%EV -14.98% E -2.22% K -2.61% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.10%EV -15.33% E -3.41% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19% NM 66.15%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.53%EV -18.13% E -2.79% K -3.30% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 20.32%EV -18.53% E -4.28% K -5.56% G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 19:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76% NM 66.38%EV -9.46% E -7.17% K -29.57% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.48%EV -18.13% E -2.79% K -3.30% G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99% NM 20.14%EV -18.15% E -4.17% K -5.42% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19% NM 65.79%EV -8.78% E -6.60% K -26.60% G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00% NM 14.00%EV -21.28% E -3.40% K -4.05% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 20.21%EV -18.53% E -4.28% K -5.56% G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-04 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 66.16%EV -11.52% E -8.93% K -39.73% G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39% NM 13.99%EV -23.17% E -3.80% K -4.54% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 19.85%EV -19.09% E -4.44% K -5.79% G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth