A Escola das Odds

IF Gnistan v IFK Mariehamn

Início: 2026-07-11 14:02 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 4–2 IFK Mariehamn

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Previsão 71.33%1.40odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.19%71.22%71.42%72.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3880.00%76.82%76.92%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)

Previsão 11.10%9.01odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.137%
Kelly -0.154%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.47%11.18%10.93%12.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.098.008.9014.29%12.36%12.50%11.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.57%5.69odd justa
EV -0.554%
Vantagem -0.098%
Kelly -0.119%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.73%17.60%17.64%18.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.115.005.6621.05%19.59%20.00%17.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.98%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.38%EV -5.77%E -0.680%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.64%EV -8.99%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.82%EV -1.44%E -0.162%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.97%EV -0.554%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 13:59
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 14:00
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:59
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 13:59
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:58
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:57
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
BetAnything1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.77I 11.40%NM 10.68%EV -2.66%E -0.304%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.28%EV -4.77%E -0.880%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -15.65%E -2.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -8.64%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -13.98%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -14.79%E -3.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.47%EV -1.22%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:59
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 13:58
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:58
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 13:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 13:59
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.60%EV -8.70%E -6.79%K -31.06%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.95%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.91%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 13:59
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.19%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -22.31%E -3.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -16.54%E -3.48%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 13:58
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 13:57
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 13:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.24%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%0.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00