Die Schule der Quoten

IF Gnistan v IFK Mariehamn

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-11 14:02 UTC

Endstand: IF Gnistan 4–2 IFK Mariehamn

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

IF Gnistan (Heim)

Prognose 71.33%1.40faire Quote
EV -1.56%
Vorteil -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.19%71.22%71.42%72.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.251.301.301.3880.00%76.82%76.92%72.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

IFK Mariehamn (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.10%9.01faire Quote
EV -1.22%
Vorteil -0.137%
Kelly -0.154%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.47%11.18%10.93%12.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
7.008.098.008.9014.29%12.36%12.50%11.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 17.57%5.69faire Quote
EV -0.554%
Vorteil -0.098%
Kelly -0.119%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.73%17.60%17.64%18.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.755.115.005.6621.05%19.59%20.00%17.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.98%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.38%EV -5.77%E -0.680%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.64%EV -8.99%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.82%EV -1.44%E -0.162%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.97%EV -0.554%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 13:59
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 14:00
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:59
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 13:59
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:58
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:57
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
BetAnything1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.77I 11.40%NM 10.68%EV -2.66%E -0.304%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.28%EV -4.77%E -0.880%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -15.65%E -2.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -8.64%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -13.98%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -14.79%E -3.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.47%EV -1.22%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:59
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 13:58
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:58
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 13:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 13:59
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.60%EV -8.70%E -6.79%K -31.06%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.95%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.91%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 13:59
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.19%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -22.31%E -3.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -16.54%E -3.48%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 13:58
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 13:57
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 13:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.24%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%0.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00