Szkoła Kursów

IF Gnistan v IFK Mariehamn

Początek: 2026-07-11 14:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: IF Gnistan 4–2 IFK Mariehamn

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

IF Gnistan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 71.33%1.40kurs godziwy
EV -1.56%
Przewaga -1.13%
Kelly -4.11%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.19%71.22%71.42%72.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.301.301.3880.00%76.82%76.92%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

IFK Mariehamn (Goście)

Prognoza 11.10%9.01kurs godziwy
EV -1.22%
Przewaga -0.137%
Kelly -0.154%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
10.47%11.18%10.93%12.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.008.098.008.9014.29%12.36%12.50%11.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 17.57%5.69kurs godziwy
EV -0.554%
Przewaga -0.098%
Kelly -0.119%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.66

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.73%17.60%17.64%18.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.755.115.005.6621.05%19.59%20.00%17.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.98%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.38%EV -5.77%E -0.680%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.64%EV -8.99%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.21%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.82%EV -1.44%E -0.162%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.97%EV -0.554%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 13:59
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 14:00
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:59
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 13:59
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:58
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -2.33%E -0.265%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:57
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.84%E -4.43%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -6.56%E -5.00%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
BetAnything1.30I 76.92%NM 72.07%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -4.55%E -0.529%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 13:59
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.77I 11.40%NM 10.68%EV -2.66%E -0.304%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.28%EV -4.77%E -0.880%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -15.65%E -2.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -8.64%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -13.98%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -14.79%E -3.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 13:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.47%EV -1.22%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:59
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 13:58
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 13:58
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 13:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.98%E -6.19%K -27.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 13:59
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.60%EV -8.70%E -6.79%K -31.06%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.95%EV -8.43%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.91%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.37%E -0.612%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -9.41%E -7.41%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 13:59
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.91%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -16.76%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.19%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -22.31%E -3.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -16.54%E -3.48%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 13:58
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -5.66%E -0.666%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 13:57
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 13:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.84%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.21%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.24%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%0.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.03%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00