The School of Odds

HJK Helsinki v TPS Turku

2026-07-26 14:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -10.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.48%62.08%62.44%63.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5271%68%68%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

TPS Turku (Visit)

Prediction 16.75%5.97fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -0.961%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.14%16.97%16.71%18.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.475.605.7021%18%18%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.93%4.78fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.41%20.96%20.85%21.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.344.354.5325%23%23%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.28%E -3.47%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.54%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -11.05%E -2.60%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 14:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.28%E -3.47%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.54%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -11.05%E -2.60%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 14:50
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.48%EV -5.90%E -3.91%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.948%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.83%EV -5.19%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 00:05
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.47%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.70%EV -6.02%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.82%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 15:00
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.15%E -4.80%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.82%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -7.87%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 14:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -20.43%E -4.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-19 14:55
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 14:05
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -12.89%E -2.48%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 14:55
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.27%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -4.52%E -0.792%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.82%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 15:00
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.87%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.82%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 15:00
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -4.52%E -0.792%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.82%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.80%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 14:05
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 62.80%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -8.95%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 14:05
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.65%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.00%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.65%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -6.19%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.00%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 14:05
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.26%E -7.13%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -7.87%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -7.91%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.26%E -7.13%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -7.87%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -7.91%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 15:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.26%E -7.13%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -7.87%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 15:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.26%E -7.13%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.28%E -4.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-19 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.18%EV -11.51%E -8.10%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.37%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.45%EV -15.23%E -3.76%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-20 07:00
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.62%EV -12.13%E -8.60%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -9.54%E -1.77%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-19 14:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -16.24%E -3.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-19 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.