Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

HJK Helsinki v TPS Turku

Początek: 2026-07-26 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: HJK Helsinki 1–0 TPS Turku

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

HJK Helsinki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 70.28%1.42kurs godziwy
EV -1.61%
Przewaga -1.15%
Kelly -4.02%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.59%69.98%70.33%72.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.321.331.4081.97%75.74%75.19%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

TPS Turku (Goście)

Prognoza 12.10%8.26kurs godziwy
EV +4.09%
Przewaga +0.476%
Kelly +0.538%
Wzrost +0.022%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.20%12.35%12.13%14.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.007.297.078.6016.67%13.71%14.14%11.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 17.61%5.68kurs godziwy
EV +3.93%
Przewaga +0.666%
Kelly +0.801%
Wzrost +0.031%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.84%17.66%17.54%19.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.605.115.005.9021.74%19.57%20.00%16.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: HJK Helsinki (Gospodarze): 70.28%; TPS Turku (Goście): 12.10%; Remis: 17.61%. Dla wyniku TPS Turku (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 8.26. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.60, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.09%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV +3.93%E +0.666%K +0.801%G +0.031%7.0%2026-07-26 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.40%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.20%EV +4.09%E +0.476%K +0.538%G +0.022%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.40%EV +3.40%E +0.579%K +0.698%G +0.024%3.9%2026-07-26 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.74%E -8.46%K -39.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +2.17%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010%8.5%2026-07-26 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV -6.20%E -0.799%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 13:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.15%E -9.72%K -48.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -14.26%E -11.69%K -64.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 13:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.63%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.11%EV -6.80%E -0.883%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.88%E -0.904%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.27%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.35%EV -16.48%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -6.64%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 13:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:39
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.15%E -9.72%K -48.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -8.40%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 13:56
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.94%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 12.90%EV -12.01%E -1.65%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.17%EV -9.11%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:35
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.76%EV -17.57%E -2.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.34%EV -9.99%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -1.61%E -1.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 13:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 13:45
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:35
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.08%EV -3.71%E -2.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.19%EV -14.43%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.73%EV -12.28%E -2.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:50
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -12.81%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -12.81%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.25%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.38%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.60%EV -14.57%E -3.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -27.38%E -4.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -16.33%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.72%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -17.21%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -18.97%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.66%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.66%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-07-26 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-07-26 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-07-26 13:55