Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

HJK Helsinki v TPS Turku

Inizio: 2026-07-26 14:00 UTC

Finale: HJK Helsinki 1–0 TPS Turku

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

HJK Helsinki (Casa)

Previsione 70.28%1.42quota equa
EV -1.61%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -4.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.59%69.98%70.33%72.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.321.331.4081.97%75.74%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

TPS Turku (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.10%8.26quota equa
EV +4.09%
Vantaggio +0.476%
Kelly +0.538%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.20%12.35%12.13%14.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.297.078.6016.67%13.71%14.14%11.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.61%5.68quota equa
EV +3.93%
Vantaggio +0.666%
Kelly +0.801%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.84%17.66%17.54%19.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.115.005.9021.74%19.57%20.00%16.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: HJK Helsinki (Casa): 70.28%; TPS Turku (Trasferta): 12.10%; Pareggio: 17.61%. Per TPS Turku (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.26. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.09%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV +3.93%E +0.666%K +0.801%G +0.031%7.0%2026-07-26 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.40%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.20%EV +4.09%E +0.476%K +0.538%G +0.022%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.40%EV +3.40%E +0.579%K +0.698%G +0.024%3.9%2026-07-26 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.74%E -8.46%K -39.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +2.17%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010%8.5%2026-07-26 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV -6.20%E -0.799%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 13:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.15%E -9.72%K -48.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -14.26%E -11.69%K -64.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 13:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.63%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.11%EV -6.80%E -0.883%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.88%E -0.904%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.27%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.35%EV -16.48%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -6.64%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 13:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:39
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.15%E -9.72%K -48.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -8.40%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 13:56
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.94%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 12.90%EV -12.01%E -1.65%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.17%EV -9.11%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:35
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.76%EV -17.57%E -2.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.34%EV -9.99%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -1.61%E -1.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 13:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 13:45
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:35
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.08%EV -3.71%E -2.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.19%EV -14.43%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.73%EV -12.28%E -2.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:50
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -12.81%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -12.81%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.25%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.38%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.60%EV -14.57%E -3.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -27.38%E -4.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -16.33%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.72%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -17.21%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -18.97%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.66%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.66%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-07-26 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-07-26 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-07-26 13:55