Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HJK Helsinki v TPS Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 14:00 UTC

Score final : HJK Helsinki 1–0 TPS Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 70.28%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -4.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.59%69.98%70.33%72.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.321.331.4081.97%75.74%75.19%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

TPS Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.10%8.26cote équitable
EV +4.09%
Avantage +0.476%
Kelly +0.538%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 8.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.20%12.35%12.13%14.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.297.078.6016.67%13.71%14.14%11.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.61%5.68cote équitable
EV +3.93%
Avantage +0.666%
Kelly +0.801%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.84%17.66%17.54%19.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.115.005.9021.74%19.57%20.00%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : HJK Helsinki (Local) : 70.28% ; TPS Turku (Visiteur) : 12.10% ; Match nul : 17.61%. Pour TPS Turku (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.26. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.60, soit une espérance positive de +4.09%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV +3.93%E +0.666%K +0.801%G +0.031%7.0%2026-07-26 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.40%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.20%EV +4.09%E +0.476%K +0.538%G +0.022%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.40%EV +3.40%E +0.579%K +0.698%G +0.024%3.9%2026-07-26 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.74%E -8.46%K -39.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +2.17%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010%8.5%2026-07-26 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV -6.20%E -0.799%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -0.749%E -0.091%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -1.36%E -0.242%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 13:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.17%E -0.396%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.15%E -9.72%K -48.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -14.26%E -11.69%K -64.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -3.12%E -0.567%K -0.693%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 13:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.63%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.11%EV -6.80%E -0.883%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.88%E -0.904%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.27%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.35%EV -16.48%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -6.64%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 13:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:39
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.15%E -9.72%K -48.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -7.52%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -8.40%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 13:56
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.94%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 12.90%EV -12.01%E -1.65%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.17%EV -9.11%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:35
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.76%EV -17.57%E -2.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.34%EV -9.99%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -1.61%E -1.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.23%E -5.48%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 13:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.25%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 13:45
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:35
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.08%EV -3.71%E -2.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.19%EV -14.43%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.73%EV -12.28%E -2.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:50
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -12.81%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV +0.461%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -12.81%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -5.82%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.25%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.38%EV -8.63%E -6.64%K -28.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.22%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.60%EV -14.57%E -3.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.33%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -15.45%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -27.38%E -4.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -16.33%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.72%EV -10.04%E -7.84%K -35.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -15.27%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -17.21%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -18.30%E -2.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -18.97%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.66%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.66%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-07-26 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-07-26 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.80%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.1%2026-07-26 13:55