Language:English
HJK Helsinki v FC Lahti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Prediction 59.62%1.68fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -7.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.35%59.70%59.63%62.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.51%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Lahti (Visit)
Prediction 17.45%5.73fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.502%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.92%17.44%17.45%18.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.315.285.9022.22%18.83%18.94%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.92%4.36fair odd
EV +5.45%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.89%22.86%22.92%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.014.004.6029.41%24.93%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 59.62%; FC Lahti (Visit): 17.45%; Draw: 22.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +2.96%E +0.502%K +0.604%G +0.018% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +5.45%E +1.19%K +1.51%G +0.083% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 11:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.16%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -2.28%E -0.406%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -2.57%E -0.605%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.54%EV -7.34%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.38%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.86%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.37%E -6.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -15.33%E -10.80%K -36.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -16.53%E -11.80%K -41.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.09%EV -4.54%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -11.05%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.51%EV -12.95%E -8.87%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.92%EV -15.36%E -3.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:22 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.14%E -9.82%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -21.47%E -4.77%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -22.06%E -6.49%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |