L’École des cotes

HJK Helsinki v FC Lahti

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Score final : HJK Helsinki 1–0 FC Lahti

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 59.62%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.60%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -7.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.35%59.70%59.63%62.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.51%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lahti (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.45%5.73cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +0.502%
Kelly +0.604%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.92%17.44%17.45%18.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.315.285.9022.22%18.83%18.94%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.92%4.36cote équitable
EV +5.45%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.083%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.89%22.86%22.92%24.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.014.004.6029.41%24.93%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +2.96%E +0.502%K +0.604%G +0.018%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +5.45%E +1.19%K +1.51%G +0.083%4.0%2026-05-04 11:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.16%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -2.28%E -0.406%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -2.57%E -0.605%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 15:55
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 15:25
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:35
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:34
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.54%EV -7.34%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.38%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:55
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.86%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:52
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.37%E -6.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:25
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:25
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -15.33%E -10.80%K -36.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:34
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:34
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -16.53%E -11.80%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-04 15:34
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.09%EV -4.54%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -11.05%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.51%EV -12.95%E -8.87%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.92%EV -15.36%E -3.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-04 15:34
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 15:24
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 15:22
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-04 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.14%E -9.82%K -32.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -21.47%E -4.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -22.06%E -6.49%K -9.19%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-04 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:50