Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

HJK Helsinki v FC Lahti

Начало: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Итог: HJK Helsinki 1–0 FC Lahti

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

HJK Helsinki (Хозяева)

Прогноз 59.62%1.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.60%
Преимущество -2.88%
Kelly -7.67%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.35%59.70%59.63%62.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.51%65.36%62.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

FC Lahti (Гости)

Прогноз 17.45%5.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.96%
Преимущество +0.502%
Kelly +0.604%
Рост +0.018%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.92%17.44%17.45%18.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.315.285.9022.22%18.83%18.94%16.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 22.92%4.36справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.45%
Преимущество +1.19%
Kelly +1.51%
Рост +0.083%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.89%22.86%22.92%24.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.404.014.004.6029.41%24.93%25.00%21.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: HJK Helsinki (Хозяева): 59.62%; FC Lahti (Гости): 17.45%; Ничья: 22.92%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.36. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.60, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.45%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +2.96%E +0.502%K +0.604%G +0.018%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +5.45%E +1.19%K +1.51%G +0.083%4.0%2026-05-04 11:35
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.16%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -2.28%E -0.406%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -2.57%E -0.605%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:35
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:34
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.54%EV -7.34%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.38%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.86%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:52
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.37%E -6.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -15.33%E -10.80%K -36.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:34
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:34
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -16.53%E -11.80%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-04 15:34
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.09%EV -4.54%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -11.05%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.51%EV -12.95%E -8.87%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.92%EV -15.36%E -3.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-04 15:34
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 15:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 15:22
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-04 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.14%E -9.82%K -32.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -21.47%E -4.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -22.06%E -6.49%K -9.19%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-04 15:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:50