La scuola delle quote

HJK Helsinki v FC Lahti

Inizio: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Finale: HJK Helsinki 1–0 FC Lahti

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

HJK Helsinki (Casa)

Previsione 59.62%1.68quota equa
EV -4.60%
Vantaggio -2.88%
Kelly -7.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.35%59.70%59.63%62.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.51%65.36%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Lahti (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.45%5.73quota equa
EV +2.96%
Vantaggio +0.502%
Kelly +0.604%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.92%17.44%17.45%18.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.315.285.9022.22%18.83%18.94%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.92%4.36quota equa
EV +5.45%
Vantaggio +1.19%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescita +0.083%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.89%22.86%22.92%24.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.014.004.6029.41%24.93%25.00%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +2.96%E +0.502%K +0.604%G +0.018%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +5.45%E +1.19%K +1.51%G +0.083%4.0%2026-05-04 11:35
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.16%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -2.28%E -0.406%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -2.57%E -0.605%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 15:55
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 15:25
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:35
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:34
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:34
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:35
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:34
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.54%EV -7.34%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.38%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:55
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.86%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:52
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.37%E -6.16%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:25
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:25
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -15.33%E -10.80%K -36.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:34
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:34
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:34
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -16.53%E -11.80%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-04 15:34
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.09%EV -4.54%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -11.05%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.51%EV -12.95%E -8.87%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.92%EV -15.36%E -3.17%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-04 15:34
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:50
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 15:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 15:24
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 15:22
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-04 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.14%E -9.82%K -32.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -21.47%E -4.77%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -22.06%E -6.49%K -9.19%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-04 15:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-05-04 15:50