La escuela de los momiosEspañol
HJK Helsinki v FC Lahti
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Predicción 59.62%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.60%
Ventaja -2.88%
Kelly -7.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.35%59.70%59.63%62.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.51%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Lahti (Visitante)
Predicción 17.45%5.73momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.502%
Kelly +0.604%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.92%17.44%17.45%18.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.315.285.9022.22%18.83%18.94%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.92%4.36momio equitativo
EV +5.45%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.083%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.89%22.86%22.92%24.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.014.004.6029.41%24.93%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +2.96%E +0.502%K +0.604%G +0.018% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +5.45%E +1.19%K +1.51%G +0.083% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 11:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.16%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -2.28%E -0.406%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -2.57%E -0.605%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -11.16%E -7.49%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -11.76%E -7.94%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -12.35%E -8.40%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +0.342%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| GTbets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.54%EV -7.34%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.38%EV -4.63%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.57%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.86%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:52 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.37%E -6.16%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -15.33%E -10.80%K -36.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.79%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.38%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -16.53%E -11.80%K -41.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.09%EV -4.54%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -11.05%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.51%EV -12.95%E -8.87%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.92%EV -15.36%E -3.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.56%E -7.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:22 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.14%E -9.82%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -21.47%E -4.77%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -22.06%E -6.49%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |