Language:English
Wales v Bosnia & Herzegovina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wales (Local)
Prediction 56.59%1.77fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%56.53%56.61%58.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.671.7362.11%60.02%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visit)
Prediction 18.28%5.47fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.424%
Kelly +0.516%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.30%18.26%18.27%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.085.005.6021.05%19.70%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.598%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.21%25.12%26.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.733.753.9128.17%26.84%26.67%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wales (Local): 56.59%; Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visit): 18.28%; Draw: 25.13%. For Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +2.37%E +0.424%K +0.516%G +0.012% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV -0.370%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.99%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.85%EV -1.74%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.08%EV -2.56%E -0.481%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.23%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.79%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 19:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV -4.39%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.69%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.94%E -0.950%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.77%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:37 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.25%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 19:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -13.17%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.19% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |