La scuola delle quote

Wales v Bosnia & Herzegovina

Inizio: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Wales (Casa)

Previsione 56.59%1.77quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.00%56.53%56.61%58.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.671.671.7362.11%60.02%59.88%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bosnia & Herzegovina (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.28%5.47quota equa
EV +2.37%
Vantaggio +0.424%
Kelly +0.516%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.30%18.26%18.27%19.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.085.005.6021.05%19.70%20.00%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.13%3.98quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.445%
Kelly -0.598%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.36%25.21%25.12%26.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.733.753.9128.17%26.84%26.67%25.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +2.37%E +0.424%K +0.516%G +0.012%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV -0.370%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 18:34
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.99%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.85%EV -1.74%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 19:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 19:39
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.08%EV -2.56%E -0.481%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.23%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:30
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.79%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 19:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 19:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:33
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 19:33
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV -4.39%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:14
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.69%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.94%E -0.950%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.77%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:37
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:25
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:40
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:04
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:05
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 19:35
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 18:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 18:54
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.25%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 19:36
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -13.17%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 19:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-03-26 19:35
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-03-26 19:40