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Wales v Bosnia & Herzegovina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wales (Local)
Predicción 56.59%1.77momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.00%56.53%56.61%58.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.671.671.7362.11%60.02%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visitante)
Predicción 18.28%5.47momio equitativo
EV +2.37%
Ventaja +0.424%
Kelly +0.516%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.30%18.26%18.27%19.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.085.005.6021.05%19.70%20.00%17.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.445%
Kelly -0.598%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.36%25.21%25.12%26.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.733.753.9128.17%26.84%26.67%25.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wales (Local): 56.59%; Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visitante): 18.28%; Empate: 25.13%. Para Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.47. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.37%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +2.37%E +0.424%K +0.516%G +0.012% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV -0.370%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-26 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.99%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.85%EV -1.74%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.08%EV -2.56%E -0.481%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.23%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.79%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 19:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV -4.39%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.69%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.94%E -0.950%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.77%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:37 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 19:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.25%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 19:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -13.17%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.19% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |