A Escola das Odds

Wales v Bosnia & Herzegovina

Início: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Wales (Local)

Previsão 56.59%1.77odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.00%56.53%56.61%58.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.671.671.7362.11%60.02%59.88%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visitante)

Previsão 18.28%5.47odd justa
EV +2.37%
Vantagem +0.424%
Kelly +0.516%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.30%18.26%18.27%19.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.085.005.6021.05%19.70%20.00%17.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.13%3.98odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -0.445%
Kelly -0.598%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.36%25.21%25.12%26.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.733.753.9128.17%26.84%26.67%25.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +2.37%E +0.424%K +0.516%G +0.012%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV -0.370%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 18:34
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.99%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.85%EV -1.74%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 19:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 19:39
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.08%EV -2.56%E -0.481%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.23%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:30
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.79%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 19:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 19:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:33
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 19:33
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV -4.39%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:14
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.69%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.94%E -0.950%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.77%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:37
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:25
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:40
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:04
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:05
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 19:35
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 18:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 18:54
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.25%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 19:36
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -13.17%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 19:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-03-26 19:35
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-03-26 19:40