L’École des cotes

Wales v Bosnia & Herzegovina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wales (Local)

Prévision 56.59%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.00%56.53%56.61%58.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.671.671.7362.11%60.02%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bosnia & Herzegovina (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.28%5.47cote équitable
EV +2.37%
Avantage +0.424%
Kelly +0.516%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.30%18.26%18.27%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.085.005.6021.05%19.70%20.00%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.445%
Kelly -0.598%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.36%25.21%25.12%26.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.733.753.9128.17%26.84%26.67%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +2.37%E +0.424%K +0.516%G +0.012%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.17%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.73%EV -0.370%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 18:34
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.99%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.85%EV -1.74%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 19:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.28%E -0.238%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 19:39
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.08%EV -2.56%E -0.481%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.23%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:30
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.79%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 19:34
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 19:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:33
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.03%E -0.767%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 19:33
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV -4.39%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:14
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.69%EV -4.37%E -2.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.94%E -0.950%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.77%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:37
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:25
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:40
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:04
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:05
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.60%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 19:35
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 18:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.05%EV -9.51%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 18:54
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.42%E -2.13%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.25%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 19:36
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -13.17%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-03-26 19:35
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-03-26 19:40