Language:English
Port Vale v Bristol City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 21.54%4.64fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.399%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 4.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.23%21.54%21.54%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.254.7325.00%23.25%23.53%21.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bristol City (Visit)
Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.63%52.34%52.30%54.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.791.8558.48%56.03%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.448%
Kelly +0.603%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.64%26.12%26.17%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.623.603.8928.57%27.62%27.78%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 21.54%; Bristol City (Visit): 52.30%; Draw: 26.16%. For Port Vale (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.52%EV +1.89%E +0.399%K +0.506%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +1.74%E +0.448%K +0.603%G +0.011% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.92%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -10.56%E -6.18%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 18:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -2.42%E -0.534%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.48%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -0.912%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |