La scuola delle quote

Port Vale v Bristol City

Inizio: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Port Vale (Casa)

Previsione 21.54%4.64quota equa
EV +1.89%
Vantaggio +0.399%
Kelly +0.506%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.23%21.54%21.54%22.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.304.254.7325.00%23.25%23.53%21.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bristol City (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.30%1.91quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -3.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.63%52.34%52.30%54.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.781.791.8558.48%56.03%55.87%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.16%3.82quota equa
EV +1.74%
Vantaggio +0.448%
Kelly +0.603%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.64%26.12%26.17%26.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.623.603.8928.57%27.62%27.78%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet4.73I 21.14%NM 20.52%EV +1.89%E +0.399%K +0.506%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +1.74%E +0.448%K +0.603%G +0.011%3.0%2026-03-03 19:40
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.92%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:41
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:40
BetUS4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -10.56%E -6.18%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:31
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:31
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 18:31
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:25
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:25
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -2.42%E -0.534%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.48%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:30
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 18:30
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:30
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:30
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:41
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 18:55
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:40
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 18:55
Marathon Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:25
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:30
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:30
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:40
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:41
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:39
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:40
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -0.912%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:40
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:41
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:40
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:40
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 18:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:30
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:41
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:41
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:25
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-03-03 19:40