L’École des cotes

Port Vale v Bristol City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Port Vale (Local)

Prévision 21.54%4.64cote équitable
EV +1.89%
Avantage +0.399%
Kelly +0.506%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.23%21.54%21.54%22.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.304.254.7325.00%23.25%23.53%21.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bristol City (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.30%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.63%52.34%52.30%54.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.781.791.8558.48%56.03%55.87%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.16%3.82cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.448%
Kelly +0.603%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.64%26.12%26.17%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.623.603.8928.57%27.62%27.78%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet4.73I 21.14%NM 20.52%EV +1.89%E +0.399%K +0.506%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +1.74%E +0.448%K +0.603%G +0.011%3.0%2026-03-03 19:40
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.92%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:41
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:40
BetUS4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -10.56%E -6.18%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:31
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:31
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 18:31
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:25
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:25
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -2.42%E -0.534%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.48%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:30
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 18:30
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:30
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:30
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:41
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 18:55
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:40
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 18:55
Marathon Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:25
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:30
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:30
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:40
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:41
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:39
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:40
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -0.912%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:40
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:41
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:40
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:40
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 18:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:30
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:41
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:25
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-03-03 19:40