La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Port Vale v Bristol City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 21.54%4.64momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.399%
Kelly +0.506%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.23%21.54%21.54%22.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.254.7325.00%23.25%23.53%21.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bristol City (Visitante)
Predicción 52.30%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.63%52.34%52.30%54.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.781.791.8558.48%56.03%55.87%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.16%3.82momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.448%
Kelly +0.603%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.64%26.12%26.17%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.623.603.8928.57%27.62%27.78%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.52%EV +1.89%E +0.399%K +0.506%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +1.74%E +0.448%K +0.603%G +0.011% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.92%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| BetUS | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -10.56%E -6.18%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:31 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:31 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 18:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -2.42%E -0.534%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.48%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 19:39 |
| Fliff | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -0.912%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |