مدرسة الاحتمالات

Port Vale v Bristol City

البداية: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Port Vale (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.54%4.64السعر العادل
EV +1.89%
الأفضلية +0.399%
Kelly +0.506%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.23%21.54%21.54%22.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.304.254.7325.00%23.25%23.53%21.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bristol City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.30%1.91السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -1.75%
Kelly -3.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.63%52.34%52.30%54.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.781.791.8558.48%56.03%55.87%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.16%3.82السعر العادل
EV +1.74%
الأفضلية +0.448%
Kelly +0.603%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.64%26.12%26.17%26.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.623.603.8928.57%27.62%27.78%25.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.73I 21.14%NM 20.52%EV +1.89%E +0.399%K +0.506%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +1.74%E +0.448%K +0.603%G +0.011%3.0%2026-03-03 19:40
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.92%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 19:41
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 19:40
BetUS4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -10.56%E -6.18%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -1.92%E -0.511%K -0.697%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:31
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:31
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.23%E -0.872%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 18:31
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:25
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.90%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:25
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.20%EV -2.42%E -0.534%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.48%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.07%E -0.681%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 19:30
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 18:30
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:30
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:30
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:41
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 19:30
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 18:55
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:40
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 18:55
Marathon Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:25
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:30
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:30
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:40
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:41
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.95%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:39
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 19:40
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -0.912%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 19:40
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:41
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:40
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:40
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 18:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:30
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:41
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:41
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:25
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-03-03 19:40