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Newcastle United v Arsenal
Head to Head
Newcastle United (Local)
Prediction 17.94%5.57fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.546%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.86%17.87%17.91%19.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.285.305.7522.73%18.93%18.87%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arsenal (Visit)
Prediction 59.42%1.68fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%59.42%59.53%60.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.571.571.6469.93%63.80%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV +0.063%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.018%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.81%22.71%22.56%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.124.104.4226.32%24.29%24.39%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Newcastle United (Local): 17.94%; Arsenal (Visit): 59.42%; Draw: 22.64%. For Newcastle United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.75, producing a positive expected value of +3.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.76%EV -0.625%E -0.113%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.99%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.26%EV +0.063%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-02 12:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -1.97%E -0.456%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -8.52%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -3.73%E -2.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-11-02 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-11-02 13:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.60%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.30%EV -15.02%E -10.51%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.11%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -14.80%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.80%EV -11.46%E -7.69%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -12.84%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.49%EV -21.07%E -4.79%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -12.05%E -8.14%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -13.97%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.