StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newcastle United v Arsenal

2026-11-21 17:30 UTC — EPL

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (9 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newcastle United (Hemma)

Prognos 17.94%5.57rättvist odds
EV +3.14%
Fördel +0.546%
Kelly +0.661%
Tillväxt +0.021%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.86%17.87%17.91%19.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.405.285.305.7522.73%18.93%18.87%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Borta)

Prognos 59.42%1.68rättvist odds
EV -2.55%
Fördel -1.55%
Kelly -3.98%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.84%59.42%59.53%60.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.431.571.571.6469.93%63.80%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.64%4.42rättvist odds
EV +0.063%
Fördel +0.014%
Kelly +0.018%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.81%22.71%22.56%23.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.124.104.4226.32%24.29%24.39%22.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Newcastle United (Hemma): 17.94%; Arsenal (Borta): 59.42%; Oavgjort: 22.64%. För Newcastle United (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.57. 7 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.75, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.14%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:19
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 12:20
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 12:20
1xBet🎯5.54I 18.05%NM 17.76%EV -0.625%E -0.113%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.99%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.26%EV +0.063%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.7%2026-11-02 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-02 12:44
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -1.97%E -0.456%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-02 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 12:19
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 12:19
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 12:20
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:20
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 12:20
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 12:20
Dabble (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-02 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -8.52%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-02 12:20
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -3.73%E -2.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 12:20
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 12:20
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 15:29
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-02 13:39
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-02 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.60%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.30%EV -15.02%E -10.51%K -34.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.11%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-02 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -14.80%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.80%EV -11.46%E -7.69%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -12.84%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.49%EV -21.07%E -4.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -12.05%E -8.14%K -25.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -13.97%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-02 12:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.