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Newcastle United v Arsenal
Resultado del partido
Newcastle United (Local)
Predicción 17.94%5.57momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +0.546%
Kelly +0.661%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.86%17.87%17.91%19.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.285.305.7522.73%18.93%18.87%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arsenal (Visitante)
Predicción 59.42%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%59.42%59.53%60.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.571.571.6469.93%63.80%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.64%4.42momio equitativo
EV +0.063%
Ventaja +0.014%
Kelly +0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.81%22.71%22.56%23.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.124.104.4226.32%24.29%24.39%22.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Newcastle United (Local): 17.94%; Arsenal (Visitante): 59.42%; Empate: 22.64%. Para Newcastle United (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.57. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.75, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.76%EV -0.625%E -0.113%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.99%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.26%EV +0.063%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-02 12:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -1.97%E -0.456%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -8.52%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -3.73%E -2.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-11-02 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-11-02 13:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.60%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.30%EV -15.02%E -10.51%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.11%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -14.80%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.80%EV -11.46%E -7.69%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -12.84%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-11-02 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.49%EV -21.07%E -4.79%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -12.05%E -8.14%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -13.97%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.